Q.
An urn A contains 3 white and 5 black balls. Another urn B contains 6 white and 8 black balls. A ball is picked from A at random and then transferred to B. Then, a ball is picked at random from B. The probability that it is a white ball is
Case Ist Let a white ball be transfered from the first bag to the second bag.
The probability of selecting white ball from the first bag is P1=3+53=83
Now, the second bag has 7 white and 8 black balls.
The probability of selecting a white ball from the second bag is P2=7+87=157
The probability that both these events take place simultaneously =P1×P2=83×157=407 Case IInd Let a black ball be transfered from the first bag to the second bag.
Its probability is P3=3+55=85
Now, the second bag contains 6 white and 9 black balls.
The probability of drawing a white ball from the second bag is P4=6+96=156 ∴ The probability of both these events taking place simultaneously =P3×P4=85×156=41 ∴ The required probability =P1P2+P3P4 =407+41 =407+10=4017