Q. An urn A contains white and black balls. Another urn contains white and black balls. A ball is picked from at random and then transferred to . Then, a ball is picked at random from . The probability that it is a white ball is

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Solution:

Case Ist Let a white ball be transfered from the first bag to the second bag.
The probability of selecting white ball from the first bag is

Now, the second bag has 7 white and 8 black balls.
The probability of selecting a white ball from the second bag is

The probability that both these events take place simultaneously

Case IInd Let a black ball be transfered from the first bag to the second bag.
Its probability is
Now, the second bag contains 6 white and 9 black balls.
The probability of drawing a white ball from the second bag is

The probability of both these events taking place simultaneously

The required probability