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Q. Assertion (A) :There are two bags (i) & (ii), bag (i) contains $3$ red & $4$ black balls & bag (ii) contains $5$ red & $6$ black balls. If one ball is drawn at random from one of the bags and found to be red then the probability that it was drawn from bag (ii) is $35/68$.
Reason (R) : If $E_1$, & $E_2$ events constitute a partition of sample space $S$ & $A$ is any event of non zero probability, then $P(E_i/A) = \frac{P(E_i)P(A/E_i)}{P(A)}, (i = 1, 2 )$.

Probability - Part 2

Solution:

Let $E_1 = $ event of choosing bag (i) & $E_2 =$ event of choosing the bag (ii) & $'A'$ be the event of drawing red ball
$\therefore P(E_1) = P(E_2) = \frac{1}{2}$
$\therefore P(A/E_1) = \frac{3}{7}, P(A/E_2) = \frac{5}{11}$
$\therefore P(E_2/A) = \frac{P(E_2)P(A/E_2)}{P(A)}$
$ = \frac{\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{5}{11}}{\frac{1}{2} \times \frac{3}{7} + \frac{1}{2} \times \frac{5}{11}} = \frac{35}{68}$.